Setting myself up for the Instalanche
I figured I'd better post this today, so that in a week or so I can claim I knew it all along and get Glenn Reynolds to Instalanche me.
The whole Valarie Plame thing is going to turn out to be nothing. What's going to happen is that “everyone” knew Wilson had a wife that used to do something at the CIA, but no one had quite put it together that meant she was a spy, they all thought she was an analyst including whoever Novak talked to in the administration. (Given that the CA employes like 100 analysts for every spy, normally its a safe bet.)
So Novak publishes, then David Corn at the Nation puts it together that she wasn't publicly a spy given that “CIA” appeared nowhere on her resume. He publishes, suddenly she is “outed” which isn't a big deal given that she was married to a high-profile State Department guy, she wasn't exactly Jennifer Garner. But her co-workers get outed too which is a big deal.
Sure, its a colossal fuckup. But its not treason. Everything Wilson said is going to turn out to just be paranoia.
I always say never put down to evil what can more easily be subscribed to stupidity. Lots of people were stupid in this affair. Novak, the CIA, the Adminstration guy, Wilson.
But no one was treasonous. If being stupid was illegal, half of Congress would be in jail, and the other half would be on trial.
I myself was stupid just yesterday, and later today, I plan on being stupid some more. Its my god-given right as an American, a citizen of the world, and a blogger.

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