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November 19, 2004
Patrick Ruffini Crunches the Berkeley numbers
And shows the Berkeley guys have been smoking too much crack
The conclusion that President Bush was more likely to improve his vote in counties with e-voting is laughable on its face. Using the Excel spreadsheet provided by the authors, I totaled the votes for counties with and without e-voting, and came up with this:
Percentage Change for Bush in Counties WITH E-Voting: 2.25%
Percentage Change for Bush in Counties WITHOUT E-Voting: 2.54%
It looks like e-voting suppressed the President’s vote by about 0.29%_ — or 7,800 votes!
Taking each of these counties as data points, was the President “significantly more likely” to have increased his support in counties with e-voting? Again, no.
E-Voting Counties with Increased Bush Vote: 13/15 (86.7%)
Non-E-Voting Counties with Increased Bush Vote: 46/52 (88.5%)
Bad science loses to E-Voting again. Thanks to Pat for doing what I was too lazy to do.
Posted by the at November 19, 2004 1:30 PM
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